Droughts shrink harvests, further complicating the arduous . Economic resilience comes from dealing with climate change COVID-19 has had a huge impact on the economy, no question. 2012 was the hottest year on record; the worst drought in generations covered more than half the country; record wildfires swept across western states; and an intensified Superstorm Sandy devastated communities in the East. This paper measures the economic impact of climate on crops in Kenya. Economic impacts The two most important sectors within the Kenyan economy, agriculture and tourism, are both highly vulnerable to effects of climate change. Schroders The impact of climate change on the global economy 2 1. Kenya's economy and its citizen's livelihoods depend on their natural resources and nature-based tourism which COVID19 threatens to diminish. Food and Nutrition Scenario of Kenya. 4 . Climate change will have wide-ranging effects on the environment, and on socio-economic and related sectors, including water resources, agriculture and food security, human health, terrestrial ecosystems and biodiversity and coastal zones. UN Climate Change News, 27 October 2020 - Increasing temperatures and sea levels, changing precipitation patterns and more extreme weather are threatening human health and safety, food and water security and socio-economic development in Africa, according to a new report devoted exclusively to the continent. Th e problem of understanding climate change (or global warming) is one of the major challenges confronting African people, their governments and the African Union (AU). They need to quickly reduce . Last year, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change released a sweeping report on the impacts of climate change under the Paris Agreement's target and related pathways. As well as its serious impact on the environment and people, climate change is one of the biggest threats to economic stability. Wednesday, November 10, 2021 - 9:00am to 10:00am EDT. Main focus was Climate change in Kenya. For example: Warmer temperatures increase the frequency, intensity, and duration of heat waves, 2 which can pose health risks, particularly for young children and the elderly. Economic growth has fallen from 6.4% in 2018 to 5.1% in 2019 and the Ministry of Finance states in its fiscal policy . Combined uncertainty in aggregate impacts grows with warming, so the very likely (5th to 95th percentile) range of losses at 1.5°C of warming is −0.1 to 1.7% GDP, at 4°C of warming is 1.5 to 5.6% GDP, and at 8°C warming is 6.4 to 15.7% GDP annually (gray band, Fig. At the aforementioned launch, there was an extensive discussion on climate change, its causes, effects and the appropriate control measures. In Kenya (as with regions worldwide) climate change and variability drives changes in . We found that at least 23% of Kenya's Tana River Basin could act as refugia if temperatures remain within the goals of the Paris Agreement, which aims to keep global warming well below 2°C. New Climate Economics Index stress-tests how climate change will impact 48 countries, representing 90% of world economy, and ranks their overall climate resilience ; Expected global GDP impact by 2050 under different scenarios compared to a world without climate change:-18% if no mitigating actions are taken (3.2°C increase); Regional effects of climate change are long-term significant changes in the expected patterns of average weather of a specific region due to climate change. African countries face a wide array of environmental problems that pose a major threat to people in the region. Victor Bwire. 12. an equity and social-economic agenda focusing on reducing inequalities in access to productive resources and basic goods and services. Economic impacts of climate change will occur throughout the country . Climate Change Experts Available to Comment on COP26 Developments and Economic Impacts. Climate change is a planetary phenomenon that will impact all countries, but its effects are being shaped by pervasive and entrenched gender inequality. Global temperatures rose about 1.98°F offsite link (1.1°C) from 1901 to 2020, but climate change refers to more than an increase in temperature. The Kenyan NDCs embody our commitment to reduce the national emissions and adapt to the impacts of climate change," Tobiko said. climate change in Africa. Important considerations include age, economic resources, and location. 2 - 4 There can be distinguished four types of approaches employed in the literature: 5 (1) crop simulation models, 3, 6 - 8 (2) statistical cross-sectional or intertemporal . RESEARCH TRIANGLE PARK, N.C., Nov. 3, 2021 /PRNewswire/ -- As more than 100 world leaders convene at COP26 . The world average temperature is rising due to the greenhouse effect caused by increasing levels of greenhouse gases, especially carbon dioxide.When the global temperature changes, the changes in climate are not expected to be uniform . Leading the Kenyan delegation to the COP26,President Uhuru Kenyatta called on the rest of the world to help Africa deal with the effects of climate change. The project titled 'TWENDE' - Towards Ending Drought Emergencies , is an ecosystem based adaptation project to be implemented in Kenya's Arid and Semi-Arid . Climate change, together with other natural and human-made health stressors, influences human health and disease in numerous ways. In the nine economic models included, the direction of management intensity, area, consumption, and international trade responses to harmonized crop yield shocks from climate change are . Photo: Penn State The Social and Economic Effects of Climate Change in Africa. Climate variability, wildlife crime, urban expansion, and rapid population growth threaten Kenya's conservation efforts. Some of these impacts include; 1. As President Obama said in his speech last month, climate change is happening -- and the effects are already being felt across the country. THE ECONOMIC IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON KENYAN CROP AGRICULTURE: A RICARDIAN APPROACH1 Jane Kabubo-Mariara and Fredrick K Karanja2 1 An earlier version of this Working Paper was published as CEEPA Discussion Paper number 12. Two workshops hosted by EPA and DOE in 2010-2011 brought the best climate modelers from the scientific and economic communities together to discuss current . 2 . Climate change impacts will affect the economy as the nation adapts/responds to stresses on water resources in the form of droughts and floods, changes in agricultural and livestock production, sea-level rise and storm surge, wildfires, and ecosystem changes, as well as health impacts related to heat stress, diseases, extreme weather events . The continent's biggest environmental challenges are water pollution, air pollution, and droughts, which directly impact the health of Africans. Kenya, while considered a lower middle-income country, has the largest economy in East Africa. Farmers in Kenya, long. This phenomenon is characterized by emergence of pests and diseases, extreme weather events, such as prolonged drought, high intensity rains, hailstones and frosts, which are becoming more frequent ulti … There is a substantial concern for the economic impacts of global warming. 2Respectively, School of Economics, University of Nairobi; and Department of Meteorology, University of Nairobi. Agriculture makes up a sizable part of Kenya's economy. However, climate change is contributing to the fragility of territories upstream. It has a population of 54 million people (2020). 2015). The authors wish to thank the Global Environment Facility . Climate thus sits at the nexus of two principal concerns, poverty and sustainable development. Climate change is not an issue that affects Kenya only; it is a global concern that is capable of causing devastating effects. Things that we depend upon and value — water, energy, transportation, wildlife, agriculture, ecosystems, and human health — are experiencing . There is a relatively rich literature available that attempts to quantify the economic impacts of climate change on agriculture globally or in a specific region. Kenya has launched a 5-year, USD 34 million project under the Green Climate Fund (GCF) to help reduce the cost of climate change-induced drought on the country's national economy. Global temperatures rose about 1.98°F offsite link (1.1°C) from 1901 to 2020, but climate change refers to more than an increase in temperature. The Tea sector, in particular, generates about 26% of the total export earnings and about 4% gross domestic product (GDP). It is therefore important that the country builds and enhances its climate resilience and adaptive capacity. economic changes etc. Storm Ciara recently . • Extreme flood and drought events are estimated to reduce long-term growth in Kenya by about 2.4% of GDP per annum (see box). Photo credits listed on page 105 in Highlights of Climate Change Impacts in the United States Impact of climate change on agriculture in Kenya Climate change has also impacted the agricultural sector. The literature addressing climate change specifically in Zambia is much thinner and focuses mostly on Zambia's climate change struggles, mainly in terms of negative impacts on Zambia's agriculture and food production. Climate change impacts have deeply personal meaning for this young climate activist from the Solomon Islands - Kale . August 14, 2021. This report assesses economic growth and development risks and opportunities for African countries in two scenarios of future climate changes: a low scenario that until mid-century is consistent with the Paris Agreement (well below 2˚C, pursue 1.5°C) and a high-warming scenario (2˚C by 2050, exceeding 4˚C by 2100). Residual impacts in Kenya, particularly for some regions and groups are expected and need to be managed. Climate Effects on Health. However, the effects of climate change are already leading to unstable trends in Tea production. Kenya is highly vulnerable to climate change, with projections suggesting its average annual temperature will rise by up to 2.5 degrees Celsius between 2000 and 2050, said Christian Aid's report. Forecast based on temperature increases staying on the current trajectory and the Paris Agreement and net-zero emissions targets not being met. That is why the international trade union movement under the umbrella of the International Trade Union Confederation (ITUC), working closely with us at TUAC, is prioritising our advocacy on climate issues.From the protection of jobs and livelihoods that are in the front lines of climate change impacts, to organising new quality jobs in the emerging green . More than 80% of the country's landmass is arid and semi-arid land (ASAL) with poor infrastructure, and other developmental challenges. It highlights the risks to which African countries are exposed and the . Changes in rainfall pattern are likely to lead to severe water shortages and/or flooding. Low carbon growth The analysis has considered future emissions for Kenya, consistent with. The climate crisis calls for urgent action. The largest impact of climate change is that it could wipe off up to 18% of GDP off the worldwide economy by 2050 if global temperatures rise by 3.2°C, the Swiss Re Institute warns. This event is co-hosted with the World Bank. Impact of Climate Change on Tea Production. One of the more famous books is the one edited by Pak Sum Low (2005). Climate change is already having a significant effect on children's well-being in Kenya. Heatwaves make us less able to work and reduce productivity. emitted globally, and how sensitive the Earth's climate is to those emissions. This projection is contained in an Working Paper entitled 'CBO's projection of the effect of climate change on US economic output: working paper 2020-06', which was followed up in September 2021 by a CBO document outlining how it modelled the effects of climate change on long-term US output. Kenya is highly vulnerable to climate change, with projections suggesting its average annual temperature will rise by up to 2.5 degrees Celsius between 2000 and 2050, said Christian Aid's report. Key economic sectors in Kenya are particularly susceptible to climate change impacts and this threatens to undermine Kenya's recent and impressive development gains. The State of the Climate in Africa 2019 report, a multi-agency publication . Published. Th e impact of climate change in Africa INTRODUCTION Climate change has been identifi ed as a leading human and environmental crisis of the 21st century. Some existing health threats will intensify and new health threats will emerge. We are already seeing the economic impacts of the changing climate. This potential climate impact would drive private sector investment into Kenya while leapfrogging Kenya to the front of the clean energy revolution. The State of the Climate in Africa 2019 report, a multi-agency publication . "The Economic Impact of Climate Change on Kenyan Crop Agriculture: A Ricardian Approach", Centre for Environmental Economics and Policy in Africa (CEEPA) Discussion Paper No. Climate action is a trade union issue. By. The effect on growth and infl ation Despite there being winners and losers, increasing temperatures will be negative for global activity overall The overall aggregate effect of climate change on economic growth will most likely be negative in the long run. It . But Pradeep Philip of Deloitte Access Economics says we can't forget about climate change. Climate change triggered by global warming poses a major threat to agricultural systems globally. But climate-driven floods and heatwaves already cost Britain billions. The report aggregated existing scientific literature and found that damage to ecosystems, humans and economies was significantly larger at 2°C of warming than at 1.5°C. Our . There is evidence from historical records that Kenya has experienced increased temperature over the last 50 years. Such challenges as climate change, commodity dependency and lack of economic diversification, data limitations, debt sustainability and ICT serve to unite the three groups of countries for mutual . Africa's public development banks (PDBs) need to work together, improve their governance structures and be well-capitalized if they are to address emerging challenges such as pandemics and climate change.Speaking on the second day of the 2021 African Economic Conference (AEC) taking place in Cabo Verde, panelists agreed that while public development banks were expected to play A drought lasting from 2008 to 2011 caused an estimated $12.1 billion in damage. Heat waves, droughts, rising sea levels, and extreme storms disproportionately affect women. UN Climate Change News, 27 October 2020 - Increasing temperatures and sea levels, changing precipitation patterns and more extreme weather are threatening human health and safety, food and water security and socio-economic development in Africa, according to a new report devoted exclusively to the continent. It also includes sea level rise, changes in weather patterns like drought and flooding, and much more. Climate change, which is the basis of this article, can be categorised under both natural and anthropogenic direct drivers (Diaz et al. Furthermore, 83 percent of Kenya's landmass is either arid or semi-arid, making the country even more vulnerable to climate change, whose impacts cut across diverse aspects of society, economy, health and the environment. It also includes sea level rise, changes in weather patterns like drought and flooding, and much more. Nairobi, Kenya, Dec 15 2021 (IPS) - On Gladys Habu's birthday, she filmed a message to world leaders while standing waist-deep in the sea next to a dead tree stump - the only remnant of Kale Island now submerged underwater due to climate-change-induced sea-level rise. Not everyone is equally at risk. Hurricanes, cyclones and typhoons devastate millions of people, leaving them in absolute poverty after ruthlessly sweeping away their communities. If the government plays its cards right, a $660B economic boost could come out of being green. 25, 26. Father Patrick Ndonga helps set up drips lines in St. Stephen Catholic Mission farm in Yathui, Kenya, Oct. 27, 2021, to irrigate crops in the dry area. Kenya is located in the Greater Horn of Africa region, which is highly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The State of the Climate in Africa 2020 report provides a snapshot of cclimate change trends and impacts, including sea level rise and the melting of the continent's iconic glaciers. Africa emerged from a COVID-induced recession this year, but growth is projected to be lower than in advanced economies and emerging markets. The most comprehensive report on The analysis is based on cross-sectional climate, hydrological, soil, and household level data for a sample of 816 households, and uses a seasonal Ricardian model. Food Insecurity Kenya is a predominantly agricultural economy. Unmanaged, climate change, he said, poses potential economic consequences . Online. The overall aim of this case study is to assess the physical and economic impacts of climate change with a focus on riparian floods and estimated cost of adapting to the present and future flood risk in Kenya. With recorded negative impact on communities including the floods in Budalangi that have displaced many people, Lake Victoria back flow . However, anthropogenic drivers outweigh the natural drivers in contributing to climate change. USAID responds to these threats by expanding the conservancy model . The Kenyan economy, Tobiko reiterated is highly dependent on climate sensitive sectors such as agriculture, tourism, water and energy. Kenya has made significant political and economic reforms that have contributed to sustained economic growth, social development, and political stability gains over the past decade. The interagency working group has committed itself to updating these estimates as the science and economic understanding of climate change and its impacts on society improves over time. According to Morgan Stanley, climate disasters have cost North America $415 billion in the last three years, much of that due to wildfires and hurricanes. This is projected to increase to 33% and 46% of the population by 2030 and 2050, respectively. 1 . The study seeks to quantity the economic cost of actual impacts and the losses accrued from the deviation from likely economic activity as a result of specific flood events in the last . Most people in rural areas depend on the rains to nourish their crops. Seeing the Impacts Climate change impacts our health, environment, and economy. Ben Curtis/AP/SIPA. Flooding in Southeast Texas from Hurricane Harvey. 5A and table S17). With climate change, it is expected that the main tea growing areas will experience an increase in the length of dry seasons per year, warmer temperatures and/or extreme rainfall intensity (Wijeratne, 1996; Trejo-Calzada and O'Connell, 2005; Eitzinger et al., 2011).Climate data collected at KALRO-TRI for over 58 years, indicate an annual . We investigate the contribution of economic models to uncertainty in this impact chain. Over a quarter of Kenya's population currently lives in urban areas. The adverse effects of climate change on the socio-economic development in Kenya is gradually being felt and attention focusing on the issue by the authorities. Kenya Climate Smart Agriculture Strategy Kenya Climate Smart Agriculture Strategy 2 PREFACE Climate change has evolved from being simply an environmental problem to a major development challenge impacting all economic sectors. That's because women are more likely to live in poverty than men, have less access to basic human . In addition, the effects of climate change on economic activity may involve heterogeneous local or regional effects. Over a quarter of Kenya's population currently lives in urban areas. This study identifies the effects of seasonal temperatures on total economic output in the cities of China, and then projects the changes in local economic performance under future climate and development scenarios. These two pages present the Key Messages from the "Our Changing Climate" chapter of the Third National Climate Assessment report. Kenya has experienced a major drought followed by several floods in the last two years, which have weakened its resilience. It has a population of 54 million people (2020). Kenyan priests help communities cope with impact of climate change. And as one crisis passes, another threatens Africa's long-term economic health: climate change. Climate change impacts will place immense 2006. has been cited by the following article: Article. Tories say that regulation will make the UK less competitive. In general, therefore, climatic fluctuations have significant impacts on Kenyan society, via agriculture, food security, water, health, natural disasters and the environment. Understanding the economic costs of climate change helps us minimize the damage of future impacts Climate change is already impacting the health, well-being, and livelihoods of communities across the globe, and these impacts are expected to grow even under the most ambitious greenhouse gas reduction targets. The consequences of climate change are coupled with pest outbreaks, economic collapses, ongoing conflict and political instability, and the devastating effects of the coronavirus pandemic, it said. To explore the local impacts of climate change, we use a summary measure of county economic vitality that incorporates labor market, income, and other data (Nunn, Parsons, and Shambaugh 2018 . Things that we depend upon and value — water, energy, transportation, wildlife, agriculture, ecosystems, and human health — are experiencing . Plausible estimates of climate change impacts on agriculture require integrated use of climate, crop, and economic models. To cushion farmers against climate change and boost productivity and resilience, governments and private sector players have been exploring various financing solutions. This is projected to increase to 33% and 46% of the population by 2030 and 2050, respectively. Economic impacts will be unevenly distributed across regions and within the economy and society . Following the expiry of the Economic Recovery Strategy, Kenya's Development Agenda is now anchored on the Kenya Vision 2030, which aims at creating "a globally competitive and Negative climate impacts will outweigh benefits for most sectors that provide essential goods and services to society . Kenya, while considered a lower middle-income country, has the largest economy in East Africa. Kenya's forest cover stands at 7.2 per . Increased vulnerability under climate change… Economic impacts of weather related extremes - and the costs of these to the growth and development in Kenya - are already significant. These factors introduce uncertainty into even short- and medium-term projections, making aggregate climate models an imprecise source of information for near-term economic estimates and risk assessment. The evidence of climate change in Kenya is undeniable, while its effects on economic growth are no more mysterious; rather, they are rapidly unfolding to a startling reality and concern for humanity. 3 . The impact on children is very likely to increase significantly over time. Kenya is very vulnerable to climate change with current projections suggesting that its temperature will rise up to 2.5ºC between 2000 and 2050, while rainfall will become more intense and less . However, its key development challenges still include poverty, inequality, climate change, continued weak private sector investment and the vulnerability of the . Climate Change in Kenya and Tea Production. 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